MLBTSDB

Roster update predictions

Players on a hot or cold streak compared with their own career. A streak makes a rating change more likely, not certain.

Based on games up to October 5.

At the last big update, on October 2, 48% of players on a hot streak came out with higher ratings, against 31% of players in a slump. 54% of slumping players came out lower, against 33% of hot ones (171 players).

When's the next roster update?

Likely to go up

  1. Dylan Cease87 · SP · TOR

    2.14 ERA over his last 63 innings, against 3.68 for his career.

    Buy now: 5,791 stubs

  2. Blake Snell87 · SP · LAD

    1.90 ERA over his last 42 innings, against 3.14 for his career.

    Buy now: 6,333 stubs

  3. Mookie Betts85 · SS · LAD

    1.252 OPS over his last 38 at-bats, against .872 for his career.

    Buy now: 3,366 stubs

  4. Cody Bellinger85 · LF · NYY

    .991 OPS over his last 41 at-bats, against .813 for his career.

    Buy now: 3,514 stubs

  5. Carlos Rodón83 · SP · NYY

    2.36 ERA over his last 53 innings, against 3.71 for his career.

    Buy now: 1,200 stubs

  6. Nick Pivetta82 · SP · SD

    2.86 ERA over his last 34 innings, against 4.46 for his career.

    Buy now: 967 stubs

  7. Pete Alonso82 · 1B · BAL

    1.259 OPS over his last 38 at-bats, against .861 for his career.

    Buy now: 1,024 stubs

  8. Alex Bregman82 · 3B · CHC

    1.121 OPS over his last 34 at-bats, against .838 for his career.

    Buy now: 988 stubs

  9. Jake McCarthy82 · LF · COL

    .985 OPS over his last 44 at-bats, against .737 for his career.

    Buy now: 964 stubs

  10. Nolan Arenado81 · 3B · ARI

    1.360 OPS over his last 39 at-bats, against .840 for his career.

    Buy now: 655 stubs

  11. Brandon Lowe81 · 2B · PIT

    .929 OPS over his last 38 at-bats, against .806 for his career.

    Buy now: 649 stubs

  12. Cal Raleigh79 · C · SEA

    .986 OPS over his last 38 at-bats, against .775 for his career.

    One point from Gold: an upgrade would make it a Gold card.

    Buy now: 610 stubs

  13. Randal Grichuk79 · RF · CWS

    .908 OPS over his last 32 at-bats, against .768 for his career.

    One point from Gold: an upgrade would make it a Gold card.

    Buy now: 192 stubs

  14. Alec Bohm79 · 3B · PHI

    .870 OPS over his last 29 at-bats, against .736 for his career.

    One point from Gold: an upgrade would make it a Gold card.

    Buy now: 242 stubs

  15. DL Hall78 · RP · MIL

    0.68 ERA over his last 13 innings, against 3.80 for his career.

    Buy now: 149 stubs

  16. Raisel Iglesias78 · CP · ATL

    0.90 ERA over his last 10 innings, against 2.89 for his career.

    Buy now: 199 stubs

  17. Jacob Latz78 · CP · TEX

    1.46 ERA over his last 12 innings, against 2.70 for his career.

    Buy now: 225 stubs

  18. Bo Bichette77 · 3B · NYM

    .909 OPS over his last 37 at-bats, against .792 for his career.

    Buy now: 189 stubs

  19. Seranthony Domínguez76 · RP · SEA

    0.00 ERA over his last 11 innings, against 3.58 for his career.

    Buy now: 104 stubs

  20. Jonathan Loaisiga76 · RP · ARI

    0.82 ERA over his last 11 innings, against 3.32 for his career.

    Buy now: 89 stubs

  21. Bryan Abreu76 · RP · HOU

    0.82 ERA over his last 11 innings, against 2.83 for his career.

    Buy now: 80 stubs

  22. Erik Miller76 · RP · BOS

    0.90 ERA over his last 10 innings, against 2.83 for his career.

    Buy now: 88 stubs

  23. Eli White76 · CF · FA

    .889 OPS over his last 27 at-bats, against .627 for his career.

    Buy now: 80 stubs

  24. Dane Myers76 · CF · CIN

    .928 OPS over his last 31 at-bats, against .674 for his career.

    Buy now: 108 stubs

  25. Bryan Reynolds76 · LF · PIT

    .940 OPS over his last 37 at-bats, against .804 for his career.

    Buy now: 148 stubs

  26. Christian Walker75 · 1B · HOU

    .931 OPS over his last 38 at-bats, against .777 for his career.

    Buy now: 75 stubs

  27. Cal Quantrill74 · SP · FA

    1.75 ERA over his last 51 innings, against 4.21 for his career.

    One point from Silver: an upgrade would make it a Silver card.

    Buy now: 29 stubs

  28. Kirby Yates74 · RP · PIT

    1.80 ERA over his last 10 innings, against 3.36 for his career.

    One point from Silver: an upgrade would make it a Silver card.

    Buy now: 72 stubs

  29. Chase Shugart74 · RP · PHI

    2.92 ERA over his last 12 innings, against 4.05 for his career.

    One point from Silver: an upgrade would make it a Silver card.

    Buy now: 54 stubs

  30. Keibert Ruiz73 · C · WAS

    .988 OPS over his last 29 at-bats, against .682 for his career.

    Buy now: 46 stubs

  31. Drew Anderson72 · SP · DET

    2.76 ERA over his last 45 innings, against 4.65 for his career.

    Buy now: 60 stubs

  32. Aaron Nola72 · SP · PHI

    2.77 ERA over his last 55 innings, against 3.93 for his career.

    Buy now: 85 stubs

  33. Xander Bogaerts72 · SS · SD

    1.151 OPS over his last 31 at-bats, against .785 for his career.

    Buy now: 85 stubs

  34. Adrian Houser71 · SP · FA

    1.25 ERA over his last 36 innings, against 4.06 for his career.

    Buy now: 29 stubs

  35. Erick Fedde71 · SP · CWS

    2.27 ERA over his last 35 innings, against 4.80 for his career.

    Buy now: 60 stubs

  36. Jacob Waguespack71 · RP · DET

    2.45 ERA over his last 14 innings, against 4.49 for his career.

    Buy now: 176 stubs

  37. J.P. Crawford71 · SS · SEA

    .891 OPS over his last 29 at-bats, against .707 for his career.

    Buy now: 137 stubs

  38. Kyle Higashioka71 · C · TEX

    .813 OPS over his last 25 at-bats, against .674 for his career.

    Buy now: 48 stubs

  39. David Hamilton71 · 3B · MIL

    .763 OPS over his last 31 at-bats, against .648 for his career.

    Buy now: 59 stubs

  40. Jeff McNeil71 · 2B · OAK

    .876 OPS over his last 41 at-bats, against .769 for his career.

    Buy now: 81 stubs

Likely to go down

  1. Aaron Judge93 · RF · NYY

    .494 OPS over his last 35 at-bats, against 1.022 for his career.

    Buy now: 403,997 stubs

  2. Byron Buxton90 · CF · MIN

    .510 OPS over his last 35 at-bats, against .799 for his career.

    Buy now: 8,798 stubs

  3. Ketel Marte87 · 2B · ARI

    .584 OPS over his last 39 at-bats, against .818 for his career.

    Buy now: 6,468 stubs

  4. Willson Contreras87 · 1B · BOS

    .697 OPS over his last 33 at-bats, against .820 for his career.

    Buy now: 5,770 stubs

  5. Jeremy Peña85 · SS · HOU

    .419 OPS over his last 42 at-bats, against .743 for his career.

    One point from dropping to Gold.

    Buy now: 3,519 stubs

  6. Bryce Harper85 · 1B · PHI

    .661 OPS over his last 40 at-bats, against .903 for his career.

    One point from dropping to Gold.

    Buy now: 3,995 stubs

  7. Francisco Lindor85 · SS · NYM

    .573 OPS over his last 43 at-bats, against .813 for his career.

    One point from dropping to Gold.

    Buy now: 4,169 stubs

  8. Mike Trout85 · CF · LAA

    .769 OPS over his last 35 at-bats, against .964 for his career.

    One point from dropping to Gold.

    Buy now: 3,846 stubs

  9. Matt Olson85 · 1B · ATL

    .734 OPS over his last 37 at-bats, against .856 for his career.

    One point from dropping to Gold.

    Buy now: 3,523 stubs

  10. Jacob deGrom83 · SP · TEX

    4.78 ERA over his last 49 innings, against 2.68 for his career.

    Buy now: 1,640 stubs

  11. Corey Seager83 · SS · TEX

    .519 OPS over his last 42 at-bats, against .863 for his career.

    Buy now: 1,598 stubs

  12. Mauricio Dubón82 · SS · ATL

    .502 OPS over his last 37 at-bats, against .673 for his career.

    Buy now: 902 stubs

  13. Freddie Freeman81 · 1B · LAD

    .404 OPS over his last 41 at-bats, against .892 for his career.

    Buy now: 712 stubs

  14. Giancarlo Stanton80 · DH · NYY

    .670 OPS over his last 40 at-bats, against .872 for his career.

    One point from dropping to Silver.

    Buy now: 445 stubs

  15. Matt Chapman79 · 3B · FA

    .378 OPS over his last 34 at-bats, against .782 for his career.

    Buy now: 160 stubs

  16. Brandon Nimmo79 · RF · TEX

    .557 OPS over his last 38 at-bats, against .796 for his career.

    Buy now: 300 stubs

  17. Manny Machado78 · 3B · SD

    .506 OPS over his last 38 at-bats, against .817 for his career.

    Buy now: 200 stubs

  18. George Springer78 · RF · TOR

    .539 OPS over his last 33 at-bats, against .824 for his career.

    Buy now: 166 stubs

  19. Carson Kelly78 · C · CHC

    .522 OPS over his last 27 at-bats, against .698 for his career.

    Buy now: 180 stubs

  20. Dansby Swanson78 · SS · CHC

    .570 OPS over his last 29 at-bats, against .730 for his career.

    Buy now: 160 stubs

  21. Trea Turner78 · SS · PHI

    .695 OPS over his last 40 at-bats, against .812 for his career.

    Buy now: 311 stubs

  22. Casey Mize77 · SP · SD

    6.34 ERA over his last 32 innings, against 4.05 for his career.

    Buy now: 187 stubs

  23. Freddy Peralta76 · SP · TB

    7.24 ERA over his last 13 innings, against 3.76 for his career.

    Buy now: 140 stubs

  24. Cole Ragans76 · SP · FA

    4.84 ERA over his last 35 innings, against 3.76 for his career.

    Buy now: 76 stubs

  25. Ozzie Albies76 · 2B · ATL

    .503 OPS over his last 37 at-bats, against .766 for his career.

    Buy now: 223 stubs

  26. Trevor Story76 · SS · BOS

    .691 OPS over his last 33 at-bats, against .809 for his career.

    Buy now: 132 stubs

  27. Sean Manaea75 · SP · NYM

    5.34 ERA over his last 59 innings, against 4.15 for his career.

    One point from dropping to Bronze.

    Buy now: 81 stubs

  28. Dean Kremer74 · SP · MIN

    10.29 ERA over his last 14 innings, against 4.40 for his career.

    Buy now: 64 stubs

  29. Jameson Taillon74 · SP · TOR

    8.90 ERA over his last 30 innings, against 3.99 for his career.

    Buy now: 60 stubs

  30. Daniel Lynch IV74 · SP · KC

    5.72 ERA over his last 28 innings, against 4.34 for his career.

    Buy now: 118 stubs

  31. J.T. Realmuto74 · C · PHI

    .219 OPS over his last 33 at-bats, against .764 for his career.

    Buy now: 132 stubs

  32. Christian Yelich74 · LF · MIL

    .532 OPS over his last 35 at-bats, against .830 for his career.

    Buy now: 77 stubs

  33. Marcus Semien74 · 2B · NYM

    .527 OPS over his last 38 at-bats, against .748 for his career.

    Buy now: 64 stubs

  34. Davis Martin73 · SP · CWS

    6.33 ERA over his last 42 innings, against 4.23 for his career.

    Buy now: 105 stubs

  35. A.J. Ewing73 · CF · NYM

    .373 OPS over his last 37 at-bats, against .681 for his career.

    Buy now: 70 stubs

  36. Jorge Polanco73 · 1B · FA

    .502 OPS over his last 35 at-bats, against .761 for his career.

    Buy now: 25 stubs

  37. Max Scherzer72 · SP · TOR

    4.50 ERA over his last 54 innings, against 3.29 for his career.

    Buy now: 50 stubs

  38. Robbie Ray72 · SP · SD

    5.02 ERA over his last 43 innings, against 3.90 for his career.

    Buy now: 43 stubs

  39. Starling Marte72 · RF · FA

    .493 OPS over his last 26 at-bats, against .776 for his career.

    Buy now: 25 stubs

  40. Max Kepler72 · LF · FA

    .464 OPS over his last 34 at-bats, against .735 for his career.

    Buy now: 25 stubs